Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Brook Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153010707 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,159 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 19153010707 covers part of the Brook Run area of Altoona, IA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,159. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Polk County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,569
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$70,065
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6314, -93.4935 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brook Run scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,482 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
4.1
How Brook Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brook Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brook Run
The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. The voucher gap is 21.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. At $1,482 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Altoona commands. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $70,065.
33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153010707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010707?
Census tract 19153010707 in the Brook Run neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153010707?
Median gross rent is $1,482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010707?
12.7% of residents in tract 19153010707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 64th, minority 26th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 19153010707 considered part of Brook Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010707 fall within Brook Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 19153010707 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19153010707 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153010707 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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