Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Brook Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153000102 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,737 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 19153000102 sits in the Brook Run area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 3,737 residents. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 10% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$67,922
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6224, -93.5359 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brook Run scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$918 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Brook Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 10 yrs
- 7.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2015)
- 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 188% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brook Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brook Run
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Average gross rent is $918, 16% below the Des Moines average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 filings here across 10 tracked years. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 9.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $67,922, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000102?
Census tract 19153000102 in the Brook Run neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000102?
Median gross rent is $918/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000102?
15.1% of residents in tract 19153000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 72th, minority 39th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000102 considered part of Brook Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000102 fall within Brook Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.73% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000102 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000102 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000102 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Western Gateway
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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