Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Brook Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153010602 · Polk County, IA · pop 7,197 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 19153010602 (the Brook Run area of Des Moines, Iowa) comes in at 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 23% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,258 a month against an average household income of $84,942 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 16% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units2,803

Renter share23.1%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$84,942

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6321, -93.5194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brook Run scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Des Moines

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Iowa legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,258 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Des Moines

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Des Moines

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Des Moines

2.5

How Brook Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brook Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brook Run

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010602?

Census tract 19153010602 in the Brook Run neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 19153010602?

Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010602?

6.2% of residents in tract 19153010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,197.

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 77th, minority 32th, housing 66th.

Is tract 19153010602 considered part of Brook Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010602 fall within Brook Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 19153010602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 19153010602 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153010602 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 19153010602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.