Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Mondamin Presidential Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153001200 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,494 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 19153001200 in the Mondamin Presidential area of Des Moines, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,494. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,179
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate39.9%
Median income$42,740
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6081, -93.6392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mondamin Presidential scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
39.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Mondamin Presidential compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 16%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 79%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 348Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2014)
- 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.4%Housing insecurity
- 22.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.0%Food insecurity
- 42.9%SNAP enrollment
- 20.7%Transit barriers
- 19.6%No health insurance
- 23.2%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mondamin Presidential
86% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Polk County average of 42.0%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
SNAP participation runs 42.9% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 30.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 348 filings here across 10 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 11.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153001200?
Census tract 19153001200 in the Mondamin Presidential neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153001200?
Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153001200?
39.9% of residents in tract 19153001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,494.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 19153001200 considered part of Mondamin Presidential?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153001200 fall within Mondamin Presidential (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.56% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153001200 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153001200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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