Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Prospect Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153000701 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,144 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 19153000701 covers the Prospect Park area of Des Moines in Iowa. Home to 4,144 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $929 monthly, set against $57,212 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 29% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$57,212

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Prospect Park
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6224, -93.6478 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prospect Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Prospect Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prospect Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 000701Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,494Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 25.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.9%Peak (2009)
  • 87Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530007012006: 138 filings (25.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 149 filings (27.09/100 renter HHs)2008: 164 filings (29.82/100 renter HHs)2009: 203 filings (36.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 139 filings (23.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 148 filings (23.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 198 filings (31.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 167 filings (26.34/100 renter HHs)2014: 101 filings (15.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 87 filings (13.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 46% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153000701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000701?

Census tract 19153000701 in the Prospect Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153000701?

Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000701?

30.1% of residents in tract 19153000701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 84th, minority 73th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 19153000701 considered part of Prospect Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000701 fall within Prospect Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,494 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.27% of renter households, peaking at 36.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153000701 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153000701 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153000701 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153000701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 46% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related