Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153000701 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,144 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 19153000701 sits in the Prospect Park area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 4,144 residents. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$57,212
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6224, -93.6478 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 14%Grade B
- 39%Grade C
- 46%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,494Total filings over 10 yrs
- 25.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.9%Peak (2009)
- 87Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.0%Food insecurity
- 30.5%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 32.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 1,494 evictions over 10 years of observation.
Against Polk County at 42.0%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $929 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 36.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 25.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000701?
Census tract 19153000701 in the Prospect Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000701?
Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000701?
30.1% of residents in tract 19153000701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 84th, minority 73th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000701 considered part of Prospect Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000701 fall within Prospect Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,494 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.27% of renter households, peaking at 36.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000701 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000701 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000701 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 46% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Avon Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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