Avon Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153010806 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,379 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 19153010806 sits in the Avon Lake area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,379. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5304, -93.5142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avon Lake scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Avon Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Avon Lake
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,380, 27% above the Des Moines average. Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.0% across Polk County.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 19153010806
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010806?
What is the average rent in tract 19153010806?
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010806?
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010806?
Is tract 19153010806 considered part of Avon Lake?
What share of households in tract 19153010806 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 19153010806 compare to Des Moines overall?
Was tract 19153010806 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.