Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Commerce Eviction Risk: Lower , West Des Moines
Tract 19153011027 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,787 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 19153011027 covers part of the Commerce area of West Des Moines, IA, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,787. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units3,220
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$99,684
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5564, -93.7649 · click any tract to drill in
Why Commerce scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Des Moines
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.2
How Commerce compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 484Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2013)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 209% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Commerce. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Commerce
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 484 eviction filings across 10 observed years. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Polk County average of 42.0%. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $99,684, annual rent is just 14%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153011027
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011027?
Census tract 19153011027 in the Commerce neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153011027?
Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011027?
6.1% of residents in tract 19153011027 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,787.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011027?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 37th, minority 30th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 19153011027 considered part of Commerce?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153011027 fall within Commerce (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153011027?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 484 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153011027 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.39% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153011027 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153011027 compare to West Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153011027 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of West Des Moines at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Des Moines
Top eight tracts in West Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153011114
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19049050813
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19049050815
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153011113
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19049050814
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19049050812
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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