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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Commerce Eviction Risk: Lower , West Des Moines

Tract 19153011026 · Polk County, IA · pop 5,799 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

19153011026 is a census tract in the Commerce area of West Des Moines, IA. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,799. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 20% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,575
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$94,486

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Commerce
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 16 tracts In West Des Moines
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#557 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across West Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5499, -93.7814 · click any tract to drill in

Why Commerce scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,317 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Des Moines
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.2

How Commerce compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Commerce risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0110264.0West Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 205Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153011026
Filings dropped 87% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Commerce. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Commerce

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 205 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Polk County average of 3.8. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 11.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153011026

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011026?

Census tract 19153011026 in the Commerce neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153011026?

Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011026?

4.1% of residents in tract 19153011026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,799.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011026?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 5th, minority 20th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 19153011026 considered part of Commerce?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153011026 fall within Commerce (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153011026?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 205 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153011026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.04% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153011026 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153011026 compare to West Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153011026 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of West Des Moines at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in West Des Moines

Top eight tracts in West Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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