Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Commerce Eviction Risk: Lower , West Des Moines
Tract 19153011026 · Polk County, IA · pop 5,799 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 19153011026 in Commerce in West Des Moines ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,799 residents. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,317 a month while the average household earns $94,486 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,575
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$94,486
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5499, -93.7814 · click any tract to drill in
Why Commerce scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,317 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Des Moines
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.2
How Commerce compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 205Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2006)
- 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 87% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Commerce. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Commerce
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 205 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.6% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153011026
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011026?
Census tract 19153011026 in the Commerce neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153011026?
Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011026?
4.1% of residents in tract 19153011026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,799.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011026?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 5th, minority 20th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 19153011026 considered part of Commerce?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153011026 fall within Commerce (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153011026?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 205 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153011026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.04% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153011026 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153011026 compare to West Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153011026 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of West Des Moines at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Des Moines
Top eight tracts in West Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011114
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011113
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
Commerce
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19049050813
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19049050815
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011112
2.1
/ 10 · Low
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