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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

College Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport

Tract 19163011300 · Scott County, IA · pop 4,520 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 19163011300 in the College Square Historic District area of Davenport, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$75,020

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In College Square Historic District
High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 31 tracts In Davenport
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 48 tracts In Scott County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 41.5376, -90.5839 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Square Historic District scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5

How College Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0113003.3Davenportparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 232Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 8.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2004)
  • 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19163011300
Filings dropped 26% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Square Historic District

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Against the Scott County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 232 filings here across 6 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 9.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Davenport. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Against average income of $75,020, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19163011300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163011300?

Census tract 19163011300 in the College Square Historic District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19163011300?

Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19163011300?

27.5% of residents in tract 19163011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,520.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19163011300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 65th, minority 51th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 19163011300 considered part of College Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163011300 fall within College Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163011300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 232 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.43% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19163011300 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19163011300 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 19163011300 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19163011300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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