College Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport

Against Scott County at 41.8%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Set annual rent against average income of $22,460 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity runs 34.7% against 17.8% nationally. At $763 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Davenport commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Scott County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

The filing record is not thin: 480 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 13.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Davenport. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.