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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

College Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport

Tract 19163011400 · Scott County, IA · pop 2,359 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

How risky is the College Square Historic District area of Davenport for landlords? Census tract 19163011400 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #39,151 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,038 a month while the average household earns $41,436 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 25% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units962
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$41,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In College Square Historic District
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 31 tracts In Davenport
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 48 tracts In Scott County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 41.5353, -90.5670 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Square Historic District scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,038 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5

How College Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 011400Davenport: 2.62.6Davenportparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 429Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 12.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.0%Peak (2005)
  • 73Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191630114002004: 66 filings (9.72/100 renter HHs)2005: 94 filings (16.97/100 renter HHs)2006: 82 filings (14.80/100 renter HHs)2009: 51 filings (9.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 63 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 73 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Davenport eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Scott County average of 4.8 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19163011400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163011400?

Census tract 19163011400 in the College Square Historic District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19163011400?

Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19163011400?

27.9% of residents in tract 19163011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,359.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19163011400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 86th, minority 66th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 19163011400 considered part of College Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163011400 fall within College Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163011400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 429 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.34% of renter households, peaking at 17.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19163011400 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19163011400 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 19163011400 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19163011400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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