Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

North Lawrence Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 20045000301 · Douglas County, KS · pop 4,425 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 20045000301 in the North Lawrence area of Lawrence, KS reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,425. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 66% Stable renters 29% Owners 5%

Tract context

Occupied units1,663

Renter share95.4%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate57.0%

Median income$24,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 38.9637, -95.2411 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Lawrence scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.0

State political climate

Kansas legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

57.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$956 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

3.5

How North Lawrence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Lawrence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.3%Housing insecurity
16.6%Utility-shutoff threat
27.7%Food insecurity
21.0%SNAP enrollment
18.4%Transit barriers
11.7%No health insurance
28.2%Frequent mental distress
39.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Lawrence

Against Douglas County at 47.5%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $24,591, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Douglas County average of 4.1. Food insecurity runs 27.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $956 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lawrence commands. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 20045000301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20045000301?

Census tract 20045000301 in the North Lawrence neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 20045000301?

Median gross rent is $956/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 20045000301?

57.0% of residents in tract 20045000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,425.

How socially vulnerable is tract 20045000301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 2th, minority 29th, housing 94th.

Is tract 20045000301 considered part of North Lawrence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20045000301 fall within North Lawrence (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 20045000301 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 20045000301 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 20045000301 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.