Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

North Lawrence Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 20045000202 · Douglas County, KS · pop 5,307 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 20045000202 in the North Lawrence area of Lawrence, KS reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,307 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 30% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units2,629

Renter share62.5%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate22.1%

Median income$47,075

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 38.9591, -95.2283 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Lawrence scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.0

State political climate

Kansas legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

22.1% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$976 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

3.5

How North Lawrence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Lawrence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Lawrence

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10.

Against the Douglas County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Douglas County average of 47.5%. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7/10.

Average gross rent is $976, 11% below the Lawrence average. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KS average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $47,075. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 20045000202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20045000202?

Census tract 20045000202 in the North Lawrence neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 20045000202?

Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 20045000202?

22.1% of residents in tract 20045000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,307.

How socially vulnerable is tract 20045000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 9th, minority 27th, housing 62th.

Is tract 20045000202 considered part of North Lawrence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20045000202 fall within North Lawrence (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 20045000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 20045000202 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 20045000202 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.