Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

North Lawrence Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 20045000202 · Douglas County, KS · pop 5,307 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 20045000202 (the North Lawrence area of Lawrence, Kansas) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #45,315 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $976 monthly, set against $47,075 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 30% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units2,629

Renter share62.5%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate22.1%

Median income$47,075

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 38.9591, -95.2283 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Lawrence scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.0

State political climate

Kansas legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

22.1% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$976 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

3.5

How North Lawrence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Lawrence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Lawrence

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Douglas County average of 4.9 and above the Kansas statewide average of 4.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 20045000202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20045000202?

Census tract 20045000202 in the North Lawrence neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 20045000202?

Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 20045000202?

22.1% of residents in tract 20045000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,307.

How socially vulnerable is tract 20045000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 9th, minority 27th, housing 62th.

Is tract 20045000202 considered part of North Lawrence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20045000202 fall within North Lawrence (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 20045000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 20045000202 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 20045000202 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.