Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lawrence Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 20045000801 · Douglas County, KS · pop 7,000 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Lawrence

Census tract 20045000801 covers part of Lawrence, KS, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,000. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 30% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units3,028

Renter share70.6%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate30.3%

Median income$45,370

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 38.9320, -95.3006 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawrence scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.0

State political climate

Kansas legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

30.3% poverty · this tract

7.6

Supply constraint

$1,042 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

3.5

How Lawrence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.4%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
16.3%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
9.2%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawrence

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Douglas County average of 47.5%.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10. Against the Douglas County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.6/10. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.

Statewide the KS average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,042, close to the Lawrence average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 20045000801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20045000801?

Census tract 20045000801 in Lawrence scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 20045000801?

Median gross rent is $1,042/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 20045000801?

30.3% of residents in tract 20045000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,000.

How socially vulnerable is tract 20045000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 21th, minority 48th, housing 34th.

What share of households in tract 20045000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 20045000801 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 20045000801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.