East Campus Eviction Risk: Moderate

37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

At $889 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Manhattan commands. Its 5 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.