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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

East Campus Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manhattan

Tract 20161000801 · Riley County, KS · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 20161000801 covers part of the East Campus area of Manhattan, KS, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 30% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,799
Renter share86.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate47.1%
Median income$25,520

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In East Campus
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Manhattan
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 17 tracts In Riley County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 829 tracts In Kansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manhattan and the region

Centroid at 39.1832, -96.5722 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Campus scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manhattan
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Kansas legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
47.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$853 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manhattan
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manhattan
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manhattan
2.5

How East Campus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Campus risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0008013.5Manhattanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Campus. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Campus

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Cost burden runs 65% here against 48.7% across Riley County. The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $25,520 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Riley County average of 3.9.

Average gross rent is $853, 15% below the Manhattan average. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the KS average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 20161000801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20161000801?

Census tract 20161000801 in the East Campus neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 20161000801?

Median gross rent is $853/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 20161000801?

47.1% of residents in tract 20161000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 20161000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 9th, minority 29th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 20161000801 considered part of East Campus?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20161000801 fall within East Campus (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 20161000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 20161000801 compare to Manhattan overall?

Tract 20161000801 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manhattan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manhattan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manhattan

Top eight tracts in Manhattan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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