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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

East Campus Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manhattan

Tract 20161000303 · Riley County, KS · pop 3,223 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

20161000303 is a census tract in the East Campus area of Manhattan, KS. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,223. Cost burden runs 71% here against 48.7% across Riley County.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 69% Stable renters 28% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units574
Renter share96.7%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate55.7%
Median income$28,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In East Campus
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Manhattan
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Riley County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 829 tracts In Kansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manhattan and the region

Centroid at 39.1939, -96.5904 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Campus scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manhattan
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Kansas legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
55.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manhattan
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manhattan
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manhattan
2.5

How East Campus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Campus risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0003033.5Manhattanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Campus. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Campus

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 56%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $28,596, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Riley County average of 3.9. Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 20161000303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20161000303?

Census tract 20161000303 in the East Campus neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 20161000303?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 20161000303?

55.7% of residents in tract 20161000303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,223.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 20161000303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 1th, minority 37th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 20161000303 considered part of East Campus?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20161000303 fall within East Campus (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 20161000303 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 20161000303 compare to Manhattan overall?

Tract 20161000303 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manhattan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manhattan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manhattan

Top eight tracts in Manhattan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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