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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Manhattan Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 20161000304 · Riley County, KS · pop 5,271

Census tract 20161000304 covers part of Manhattan, KS, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 34% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,269
Renter share70.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$53,701

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Manhattan
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#4 of 17 tracts In Riley County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 829 tracts In Kansas
Very High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manhattan and the region

Centroid at 39.1950, -96.6022 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manhattan scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manhattan
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Kansas legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manhattan
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manhattan
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manhattan
2.5

How Manhattan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manhattan risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0003043.5Manhattanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manhattan

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Riley County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KS average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,006, close to the Manhattan average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $53,701.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 20161000304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20161000304?

Census tract 20161000304 in Manhattan scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 20161000304?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 20161000304?

33.7% of residents in tract 20161000304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,271.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 20161000304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 6th, minority 44th, housing 57th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 20161000304 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 20161000304 compare to Manhattan overall?

Tract 20161000304 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manhattan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manhattan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manhattan

Top eight tracts in Manhattan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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