Skip to content
Neighborhood · Bel Aire, KS

Elk Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,244 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.1–3.3

Elk Creek spans 2 census tracts of Bel Aire, KS and houses 11,244 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 27.9% citywide, putting Elk Creek 17.1% over its own city.

The voucher gap is 53.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.2/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10. SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,528, 7% below the Bel Aire average of $1,649. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Elk Creek vs Bel Aire How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.0% +61%
Bel Aire: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$1,528 -7%
Bel Aire: $1,649
Average HH income
$94,071 +1%
Bel Aire: $93,182
Poverty rate
13.6% -5%
Bel Aire: 14.3%
Renter share
23.2% +27%
Bel Aire: 18.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elk Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.3

Why Elk Creek scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–4.9 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–6.8 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.5 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 2.0–5.3 across tracts
4.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–6.7 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
13.6% below poverty line · Range 3.0–4.3 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.1–10.0 across tracts
9.2
Risk score comparison

Elk Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elk Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2Elk CreekNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Elk Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
20173010106 3.3 3,243 24% $1,201
20173010111 3.1 8,001 54% $1,660
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elk Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elk Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elk Creek?

Elk Creek scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elk Creek compare to Bel Aire overall?

Elk Creek scores 0.6 points lower than Bel Aire overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,528 vs $1,649.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elk Creek?

Average gross rent in Elk Creek is $1,528/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elk Creek residents are renters?

23% of Elk Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Bel Aire). The neighborhood has 11,244 residents.
Q5

Is Elk Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Elk Creek sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elk Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elk Creek is census tract 20173010106 (score 3.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.3, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Elk Creek for landlords?

Elk Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Aire as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elk Creek?

Elk Creek has 11,389 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elk Creek

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further