Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Elk Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Aire
Tract 20173010106 · Sedgwick County, KS · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 20173010106 sits in the Elk Creek area of Wichita eviction risk, KS, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. It is home to 3,243 residents. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Sedgwick County average of 39.0%.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,228
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$92,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Aire and the region
Centroid at 37.7582, -97.2402 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elk Creek scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Aire
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Kansas legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Aire
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Aire
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Aire
2.5
How Elk Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elk Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elk Creek
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,201, 23% above the Wichita average.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. The voucher gap is 20.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $92,808, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Sedgwick County average of 3.8 closely. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 20173010106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20173010106?
Census tract 20173010106 in the Elk Creek neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 20173010106?
Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 20173010106?
17.1% of residents in tract 20173010106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 20173010106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 59th, minority 54th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 20173010106 considered part of Elk Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20173010106 fall within Elk Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 20173010106 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 20173010106 compare to Bel Aire overall?
Tract 20173010106 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Aire at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Aire eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Aire
Top eight tracts in Bel Aire ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KS
Mead Neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
Mead Neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
20173007500
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
Mead Neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
20173004000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
Mead Neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
20173007701
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KS
20173004301
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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