Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Elk Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Aire

Tract 20173010106 · Sedgwick County, KS · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 20173010106, in the Elk Creek neighborhood of Bel Aire eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 3.8/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 3,243. That is riskier than roughly 9% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 24% of renter households, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,201 a month against an average household income of $92,808 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 28% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,228

Renter share37.4%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate17.1%

Median income$92,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Aire and the region

Centroid at 37.7582, -97.2402 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elk Creek scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bel Aire

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Kansas legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

17.1% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,201 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bel Aire

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bel Aire

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bel Aire

2.5

How Elk Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elk Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.9%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elk Creek

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Aire eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sedgwick County average of 4.2 and below the Kansas statewide average of 4.2. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 20173010106

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20173010106?

Census tract 20173010106 in the Elk Creek neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 20173010106?

Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 20173010106?

17.1% of residents in tract 20173010106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.

How socially vulnerable is tract 20173010106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 59th, minority 54th, housing 55th.

Is tract 20173010106 considered part of Elk Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20173010106 fall within Elk Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 20173010106 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 20173010106 compare to Bel Aire overall?

Tract 20173010106 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bel Aire at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Aire eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Aire

Top eight tracts in Bel Aire ranked by composite eviction-risk score.