Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Mainstrasse Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport

Tract 21037050600 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,515 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 21037050600 covers part of the Mainstrasse Village area of Newport, KY, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,515 residents. The severe-burden share is 61%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 18% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units692

Renter share58.4%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate35.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport and the region

Centroid at 39.0824, -84.4963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mainstrasse Village scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Newport

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

35.0% poverty · this tract

8.7

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Newport

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Newport

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Newport

6.7

How Mainstrasse Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
34%Grade B
17%Grade C
35%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mainstrasse Village

Against Campbell County at 41.8%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.7/10. Against the Campbell County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037050600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037050600?

Census tract 21037050600 in the Mainstrasse Village neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037050600?

35.0% of residents in tract 21037050600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,515.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037050600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 100th, minority 49th, housing 64th.

Is tract 21037050600 considered part of Mainstrasse Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037050600 fall within Mainstrasse Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037050600 compare to Newport overall?

Tract 21037050600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Newport at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037050600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport

Top eight tracts in Newport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.