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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Lytle Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport

Tract 21037050500 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,811 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

21037050500 is a census tract in the Lytle Park Historic District area of Newport, KY. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,811. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 24% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units829
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$34,702

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Lytle Park Historic District
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Newport
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 25 tracts In Campbell County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport and the region

Centroid at 39.0863, -84.4906 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lytle Park Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport
6.7

How Lytle Park Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lytle Park Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0505004.2Newportparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lytle Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lytle Park Historic District

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Campbell County average of 41.8%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.4/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Set annual rent against average income of $34,702 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.6 points above the Campbell County average of 4.0. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,095, close to the Newport average. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037050500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037050500?

Census tract 21037050500 in the Lytle Park Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21037050500?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037050500?

37.6% of residents in tract 21037050500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,811.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037050500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 12th, minority 22th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 21037050500 considered part of Lytle Park Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037050500 fall within Lytle Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21037050500 compare to Newport overall?

Tract 21037050500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Newport at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21037050500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport

Top eight tracts in Newport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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