Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Lytle Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport

Tract 21037050100 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 21037050100 sits in the Lytle Park Historic District area of Newport eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 1,173 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 49% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units720

Renter share80.7%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate38.7%

Median income$30,066

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport and the region

Centroid at 39.0894, -84.5005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lytle Park Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Newport

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

38.7% poverty · this tract

9.7

Supply constraint

$872 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Newport

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Newport

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Newport

6.7

How Lytle Park Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
55%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lytle Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lytle Park Historic District

The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $30,066 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against the Campbell County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $872, 20% below the Newport average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037050100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037050100?

Census tract 21037050100 in the Lytle Park Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21037050100?

Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037050100?

38.7% of residents in tract 21037050100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,173.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037050100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 97th, minority 50th, housing 84th.

Is tract 21037050100 considered part of Lytle Park Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037050100 fall within Lytle Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037050100 compare to Newport overall?

Tract 21037050100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Newport at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037050100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 55% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport

Top eight tracts in Newport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.