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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Richmond Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21151010201 · Madison County, KY · pop 1,843 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Richmond

Tract 21151010201 sits in Richmond eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 49% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units937
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$42,270

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Richmond
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 31 tracts In Madison County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.7799, -84.2871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richmond scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$740 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
2.5

How Richmond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Richmond risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0102013.5Richmondparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richmond

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Madison County average of 36.3%. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $740, 19% below the Richmond average.

It sits 1.0 points above the Madison County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21151010201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21151010201?

Census tract 21151010201 in Richmond scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21151010201?

Median gross rent is $740/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21151010201?

28.3% of residents in tract 21151010201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,843.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21151010201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 34th, minority 17th, housing 25th.
Q5

How does tract 21151010201 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 21151010201 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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