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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Richmond Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21151010903 · Madison County, KY · pop 4,039 · 67% of tract blocks fall in Richmond

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 21151010903 in Richmond, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,039. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 41% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,656
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$49,550

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Richmond
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 31 tracts In Madison County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.7249, -84.3161 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richmond scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$939 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
2.5

How Richmond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Richmond risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0109033.5Richmondparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richmond

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Madison County average of 36.3%.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Madison County average of 3.9. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Average gross rent is $939, close to the Richmond average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $49,550.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21151010903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21151010903?

Census tract 21151010903 in Richmond scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21151010903?

Median gross rent is $939/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21151010903?

26.6% of residents in tract 21151010903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,039.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21151010903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 54th, minority 24th, housing 72th.
Q5

How does tract 21151010903 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 21151010903 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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