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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Hill

Tract 23005017305 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 5,498 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 23005017305 sits in the The Downs area of Oak Hill eviction risk, ME, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 27% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,559
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$104,148

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Downs
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oak Hill
Very High
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#325 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Hill and the region

Centroid at 43.5978, -70.3577 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Downs scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Hill
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,746 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Hill
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Hill
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Hill
3.1

How The Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Downs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0173054.0Oak Hillparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Downs

Against the Cumberland County average of 5.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005017305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005017305?

Census tract 23005017305 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005017305?

Median gross rent is $1,746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005017305?

4.0% of residents in tract 23005017305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,498.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005017305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 16th, minority 15th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 23005017305 considered part of The Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005017305 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005017305 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005017305 compare to Oak Hill overall?

Tract 23005017305 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Hill

Top eight tracts in Oak Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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