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Neighborhood · Oak Hill, ME

The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,498 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

The Downs maps to a single census tract in Oak Hill, ME, population 5,498. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 40% against 28.6% citywide, putting The Downs 11.3% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The closest comparables inside the same city are Pleasant Hill and Ocean View Harbor.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,746, close to the Oak Hill average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $104,148. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Downs vs Oak Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.9% +40%
Oak Hill: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,746 +0%
Oak Hill: $1,743
Average HH income
$104,148 +12%
Oak Hill: $92,967
Poverty rate
4.0% +21%
Oak Hill: 3.3%
Renter share
45.2% +84%
Oak Hill: 24.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Downs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why The Downs scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

The Downs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Downs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4The DownsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Downs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
23005017305 3.4 5,498 40% $1,746
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 15%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Downs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Downs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Downs?

The Downs scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Downs compare to Oak Hill overall?

The Downs scores 0.6 points lower than Oak Hill overall (4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,746 vs $1,743.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Downs?

Average gross rent in The Downs is $1,746/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Downs residents are renters?

45% of The Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Oak Hill). The neighborhood has 5,498 residents.
Q5

Is The Downs a high social-vulnerability area?

The Downs sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Downs for landlords?

The Downs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Hill as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Downs?

The Downs has 5,731 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%), Other / Multiracial (1.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Downs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oak Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Downs.

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