Arts District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $55,672 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 2.8/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cumberland County average of 38.5%.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.