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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Arts District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 23005001200 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 1,481 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 23005001200 (the Arts District neighborhood of Portland, Maine) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,658 a month while the average household earns $82,823 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 43% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units648
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$82,823

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Arts District
Very Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 20 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#36 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.6486, -70.2670 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arts District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
5.5

How Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001200Portland: 5.95.9Portlandparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arts District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005001200?

Census tract 23005001200 in the Arts District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005001200?

Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005001200?

16.9% of residents in tract 23005001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,481.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 6th, minority 49th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 23005001200 considered part of Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005001200 fall within Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005001200 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 23005001200 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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