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Neighborhood · Portland, ME

Back Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,743 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Back Cove is a one-tract neighborhood of Portland, ME, population 3,743. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Portland baseline of 30.6%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $1,691 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Portland commands.

That places it #15 of 15 neighborhoods in Portland. Against average income of $103,581, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Back Cove vs Portland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.9% +73%
Portland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,691 +7%
Portland: $1,577
Average HH income
$103,581 +36%
Portland: $76,174
Poverty rate
4.2% -63%
Portland: 11.3%
Renter share
29.6% -44%
Portland: 53.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Back Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Back Cove scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
4.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Back Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Back Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Back CoveNeighborhood6.2Parent cityhost city4.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Back Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
23005001800 5.7 3,743 53% $1,691
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 13%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 19%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Back Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Back Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Back Cove?

Back Cove scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Back Cove compare to Portland overall?

Back Cove scores 0.5 points lower than Portland overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,691 vs $1,577.
Q3

What is the average rent in Back Cove?

Average gross rent in Back Cove is $1,691/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Back Cove residents are renters?

30% of Back Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Portland). The neighborhood has 3,743 residents.
Q5

Is Back Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Back Cove sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Back Cove for landlords?

Back Cove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Portland as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Back Cove?

Back Cove has 3,718 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90%), Other / Multiracial (4.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Back Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Portland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Back Cove.

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