Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Back Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 23005001800 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 3,743 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Back Cove neighborhood of Portland, census tract 23005001800 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,691 a month against an average household income of $103,581 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 14% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,634

Renter share29.6%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate4.2%

Median income$103,581

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.6794, -70.2757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Back Cove scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Portland

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

Maine legislature & governorship

4.0

Economic stress

4.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,691 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Portland

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Portland

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Portland

5.5

How Back Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.2%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
22.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Back Cove

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005001800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005001800?

Census tract 23005001800 in the Back Cove neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 23005001800?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005001800?

4.2% of residents in tract 23005001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,743.

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 19th, housing 67th.

Is tract 23005001800 considered part of Back Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005001800 fall within Back Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 23005001800 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 23005001800 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 23005001800 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.