Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Augusta
Tract 23011010300 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,289 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 23011010300 in the Orchard Hill area of Augusta, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,289 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,546
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$52,674
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Augusta and the region
Centroid at 44.3239, -69.8075 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Hill scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Augusta
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Augusta
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Augusta
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Augusta
6.9
How Orchard Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 20.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Hill
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.6 points above the Kennebec County average of 4.3.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Kennebec County at 37.6%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $942, close to the Augusta average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $52,674.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011010300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011010300?
Census tract 23011010300 in the Orchard Hill neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011010300?
Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011010300?
21.0% of residents in tract 23011010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,289.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011010300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 64th, minority 33th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 23011010300 considered part of Orchard Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011010300 fall within Orchard Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011010300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011010300 compare to Augusta overall?
Tract 23011010300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Augusta at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Augusta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Augusta
Top eight tracts in Augusta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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