Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Augusta
Tract 23011010400 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 2,743 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Here is how census tract 23011010400, in the Orchard Hill area of Augusta eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,743. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $946 a month while the average household earns $49,531 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share58.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$49,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Augusta and the region
Centroid at 44.3093, -69.7968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Hill scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Augusta
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Augusta
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Augusta
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Augusta
6.9
How Orchard Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Hill
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Augusta eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011010400?
Census tract 23011010400 in the Orchard Hill neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011010400?
Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011010400?
12.4% of residents in tract 23011010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 97th, minority 6th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 23011010400 considered part of Orchard Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011010400 fall within Orchard Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011010400 compare to Augusta overall?
Tract 23011010400 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Augusta at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Augusta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Augusta
Top eight tracts in Augusta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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