Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23011014001 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,923 · 48% of tract blocks fall in Winthrop
Tract 23011014001, home to 3,923 residents in Winthrop, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,159 a month against an average household income of $75,724 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,539
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$75,724
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winthrop and the region
Centroid at 44.3173, -69.9991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winthrop
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,159 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winthrop
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winthrop
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winthrop
5.4
How Winthrop compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 17.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011014001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011014001?
Census tract 23011014001 in Winthrop scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011014001?
Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011014001?
16.4% of residents in tract 23011014001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,923.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011014001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 41th, minority 22th, housing 66th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23011014001 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23011014001 compare to Winthrop overall?
Tract 23011014001 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Winthrop at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winthrop
Top eight tracts in Winthrop ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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