Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Center Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 23011014002 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 2,215 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

23011014002 is a census tract in the Winthrop Center area of Winthrop, ME. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Kennebec County at 37.6%, 88% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 1% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,044
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$83,423

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winthrop Center
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Winthrop
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 36 tracts In Kennebec County
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#363 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winthrop and the region

Centroid at 44.3043, -69.9330 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Center scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winthrop
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$948 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winthrop
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winthrop
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winthrop
5.4

How Winthrop Center compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Center risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0140023.4Winthropparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Center

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Kennebec County average of 4.3.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $83,423, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $948, close to the Winthrop average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011014002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011014002?

Census tract 23011014002 in the Winthrop Center neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23011014002?

Median gross rent is $948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011014002?

9.6% of residents in tract 23011014002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011014002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 5th, minority 0th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 23011014002 considered part of Winthrop Center?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011014002 fall within Winthrop Center (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23011014002 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23011014002 compare to Winthrop overall?

Tract 23011014002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Winthrop at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winthrop

Top eight tracts in Winthrop ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related