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Neighborhood · Crofton, MD

Crofton South Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,686 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Crofton South maps to a single census tract in Crofton, MD, population 4,686. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Crofton rate of 26.6%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.7% of adults, 11.1 points below the national rate.

At $2,019 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Crofton commands. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Crofton, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Charing Cross and Crofton Village score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $154,167, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crofton South vs Crofton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.2% +92%
Crofton: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$2,019 -9%
Crofton: $2,217
Average HH income
$154,167 +5%
Crofton: $147,250
Poverty rate
0.4% -85%
Crofton: 2.6%
Renter share
13.2% -26%
Crofton: 17.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crofton South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Crofton South scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Economic stress
0.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Crofton South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crofton South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Crofton SouthNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crofton South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24003702204 3.8 4,686 51% $2,019
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crofton South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crofton South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crofton South?

Crofton South scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crofton South compare to Crofton overall?

Crofton South scores 0.7 points lower than Crofton overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,019 vs $2,217.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crofton South?

Average gross rent in Crofton eviction risk South is $2,019/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crofton South residents are renters?

13% of Crofton South households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Crofton). The neighborhood has 4,686 residents.
Q5

Is Crofton South a high social-vulnerability area?

Crofton South sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crofton South for landlords?

Crofton eviction risk South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Crofton as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crofton South?

Crofton South has 4,796 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crofton South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Crofton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crofton South.

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