Brooklyn Eviction Risk: Elevated

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 32.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

21.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.1/10. At $1,152 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

That places it #57 of 157 neighborhoods in Baltimore. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 7.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.