New Southwest/Mount Clare Eviction Risk: Elevated

SNAP participation is 36.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

19.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,215, 9% below the Baltimore average of $1,331. That places it #57 of 157 neighborhoods in Baltimore. For a like-for-like read, Penn North and Parkview/Woodbrook score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $48,462.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.