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Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Garwyn Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,176 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 7.5–7.5

Garwyn Oaks is a one-tract neighborhood of Baltimore, MD, population 5,176. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Severe burden reaches 43%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 56% against 32.0% citywide, putting Garwyn Oaks 24.1% over its own city. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. SNAP participation is 34.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,164, 13% below the Baltimore average of $1,331.

Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #57 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Penn North and Parkview/Woodbrook score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $60,439. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 7.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Garwyn Oaks vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.1% +75%
Baltimore: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,164 -13%
Baltimore: $1,331
Average HH income
$60,439 +1%
Baltimore: $59,623
Poverty rate
26.1% +30%
Baltimore: 20.1%
Renter share
56.2% +7%
Baltimore: 52.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Garwyn Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.5–7.5

Why Garwyn Oaks scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
26.1% below poverty line · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Garwyn Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Garwyn Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5Garwyn OaksNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Garwyn Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24510150800 7.5 5,176 56% $1,164
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Garwyn Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Garwyn Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Garwyn Oaks?

Garwyn Oaks scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Garwyn Oaks compare to Baltimore overall?

Garwyn Oaks scores 0.9 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,164 vs $1,331.
Q3

What is the average rent in Garwyn Oaks?

Average gross rent in Garwyn Oaks is $1,164/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Garwyn Oaks residents are renters?

56% of Garwyn Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 5,176 residents.
Q5

Is Garwyn Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Garwyn Oaks sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Garwyn Oaks for landlords?

Garwyn Oaks carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Garwyn Oaks?

Garwyn Oaks has 4,506 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (87.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (2.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Garwyn Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Garwyn Oaks.

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