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Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Four by Four Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 1,804 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Four by Four is a one-tract neighborhood of Baltimore, MD, population 1,804. The Eviction Risk Score is 8/10, in the High tier. roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Baltimore rate of 32.0%.

27.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.6/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Disability prevalence reaches 44.6% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,363, close to the Baltimore average.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Four by Four vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.2% +101%
Baltimore: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,363 +2%
Baltimore: $1,331
Average HH income
$33,906 -43%
Baltimore: $59,623
Poverty rate
34.5% +72%
Baltimore: 20.1%
Renter share
57.4% +9%
Baltimore: 52.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Four by Four and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why Four by Four scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
34.5% below poverty line · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Four by Four vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Four by Four score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0Four by FourNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Four by Four

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24510080102 8 1,804 64% $1,363
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Four by Four

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Four by Four

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Four by Four?

Four by Four scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Four by Four compare to Baltimore overall?

Four by Four scores 1.4 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,363 vs $1,331.
Q3

What is the average rent in Four by Four?

Average gross rent in Four by Four is $1,363/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Four by Four residents are renters?

57% of Four by Four households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 1,804 residents.
Q5

Is Four by Four a high social-vulnerability area?

Four by Four sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Four by Four for landlords?

Four by Four carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Four by Four?

Four by Four has 1,658 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (95.5%), Other / Multiracial (2.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (2.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Four by Four

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Four by Four.

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