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Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Arlington Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,226 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Arlington maps to a single census tract in Baltimore, MD and houses 2,226 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. 58% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Baltimore baseline of 32.0%, 77% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 49.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $810, 39% below the Baltimore average of $1,331. The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10. Disability prevalence reaches 47.7% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
77.3% +142%
Baltimore: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$810 -39%
Baltimore: $1,331
Average HH income
$0 -100%
Baltimore: $59,623
Poverty rate
38.0% +89%
Baltimore: 20.1%
Renter share
57.8% +10%
Baltimore: 52.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why Arlington scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
77% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
38.0% below poverty line · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Arlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0ArlingtonNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24510271801 8 2,226 77% $810
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 99%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington?

Arlington scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arlington compare to Baltimore overall?

Arlington scores 1.4 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $810 vs $1,331.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arlington?

Average gross rent in Arlington is $810/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arlington residents are renters?

58% of Arlington households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 2,226 residents.
Q5

Is Arlington a high social-vulnerability area?

Arlington sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arlington for landlords?

Arlington carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington?

Arlington has 2,348 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (92.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.7%), Hispanic / Latino (1.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arlington.

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