Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Gay Street Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510080800 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,147 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 7.6/10, tract 24510080800 in the Gay Street area of Baltimore, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,147. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units778
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate29.2%
Median income$65,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3037, -76.5931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gay Street scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
29.2% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,013 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Gay Street compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gay Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.1%Food insecurity
- 32.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gay Street
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 29.1% against 14.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $1,013 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
It sits 0.8 points above the Baltimore City average of 6.8. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510080800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510080800?
Census tract 24510080800 in the Gay Street neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510080800?
Median gross rent is $1,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510080800?
29.2% of residents in tract 24510080800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,147.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510080800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 94th, minority 94th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 24510080800 considered part of Gay Street?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510080800 fall within Gay Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510080800 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510080800 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510080800 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510080800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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