Harlem Park Eviction Risk: High

Food insecurity affects 44.9% of adults, 27.1 points above the national rate. 32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 34.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $908 a month, rents sit 32% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is a renter market: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side is economic stress at 8.2/10. That places it #1 of 157 neighborhoods in Baltimore.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Easterwood and Darley Park. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.