Madison-Eastend Eviction Risk: Elevated

SNAP participation is 43.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

23.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #41 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Waverly and Fallstaff score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,359, close to the Baltimore average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $62,712.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.