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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

Madison-Eastend Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510070100 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,571 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Madison-Eastend area of Baltimore anchors census tract 24510070100, which lands at 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,359 monthly, set against $62,712 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 25% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units724
Renter share54.4%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate37.8%
Median income$62,712

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Madison-Eastend
Moderate
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2998, -76.5754 · click any tract to drill in

Why Madison-Eastend scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
37.8% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Madison-Eastend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Madison-Eastend risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 070100Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Madison-Eastend

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510070100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510070100?

Census tract 24510070100 in the Madison-Eastend neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510070100?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510070100?

37.8% of residents in tract 24510070100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510070100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 99th, minority 98th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 24510070100 considered part of Madison-Eastend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510070100 fall within Madison-Eastend (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510070100 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510070100 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510070100 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510070100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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