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Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Old Goucher Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,805 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Old Goucher maps to a single census tract in Baltimore, MD, population 2,805. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Baltimore baseline of 32.0%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $28,376 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $909, 32% below the Baltimore average of $1,331. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.7/10.

16.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 29.2% of adults, 11.4 points above the national rate. Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Coppin Heights/Ash-Co-East and Darley Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Old Goucher vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.3% +54%
Baltimore: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$909 -32%
Baltimore: $1,331
Average HH income
$28,376 -52%
Baltimore: $59,623
Poverty rate
34.9% +74%
Baltimore: 20.1%
Renter share
87.2% +66%
Baltimore: 52.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Goucher and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why Old Goucher scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
34.9% below poverty line · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Old Goucher vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Goucher score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0Old GoucherNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Old Goucher

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24510120600 8 2,805 49% $909
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Goucher

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Old Goucher

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Goucher?

Old Goucher scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Goucher compare to Baltimore overall?

Old Goucher scores 1.4 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $909 vs $1,331.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Goucher?

Average gross rent in Old Goucher is $909/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Goucher residents are renters?

87% of Old Goucher households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 2,805 residents.
Q5

Is Old Goucher a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Goucher sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Old Goucher for landlords?

Old Goucher carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Goucher?

Old Goucher has 2,580 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), Other / Multiracial (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Goucher

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Goucher.

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