Orangeville Eviction Risk: High

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity affects 46.2% of adults, 28.4 points above the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 36.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. At $1,612 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Baltimore commands. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Belair-Parkside and Easterwood score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.