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Neighborhood · Baltimore, MD

Armistead Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,705 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.4–8

Armistead Gardens is a 2-tract neighborhood of Baltimore, MD and houses 5,705 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. SNAP participation is 42.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 41.8% of adults, 24.0 points above the national rate. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $926, 30% below the Baltimore average of $1,331.

The poverty rate is 30%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Baltimore rate of 32.0%.

On the high side is economic stress at 7.2/10. Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #47 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 7.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Armistead Gardens vs Baltimore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.8% +18%
Baltimore: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$926 -30%
Baltimore: $1,331
Average HH income
$37,464 -37%
Baltimore: $59,623
Poverty rate
29.5% +47%
Baltimore: 20.1%
Renter share
67.0% +28%
Baltimore: 52.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Armistead Gardens and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.4–8

Why Armistead Gardens scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
29.5% below poverty line · Range 5.1–10.0 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Armistead Gardens vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Armistead Gardens score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7Armistead GardensNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Armistead Gardens

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24510260401 8 2,391 19% $660
24510260402 7.4 3,314 52% $1,118
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Armistead Gardens

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Armistead Gardens

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Armistead Gardens?

Armistead Gardens scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Armistead Gardens compare to Baltimore overall?

Armistead Gardens scores 1.1 points higher than Baltimore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $926 vs $1,331.
Q3

What is the average rent in Armistead Gardens?

Average gross rent in Armistead Gardens is $926/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Armistead Gardens residents are renters?

67% of Armistead Gardens households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Baltimore). The neighborhood has 5,705 residents.
Q5

Is Armistead Gardens a high social-vulnerability area?

Armistead Gardens sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Armistead Gardens have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Armistead Gardens is census tract 24510260401 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 8, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Armistead Gardens for landlords?

Armistead Gardens carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baltimore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Armistead Gardens?

Armistead Gardens has 5,735 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.2%), Hispanic / Latino (20.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Armistead Gardens

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baltimore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Armistead Gardens.

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