Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Fell's Point Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510020200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,480 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 24510020200, in the Upper Fell's Point neighborhood of Baltimore eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,480. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,602 a month against an average household income of $68,750 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units783
Renter share58.1%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$68,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2886, -76.5920 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Fell's Point scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,602 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Upper Fell's Point compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Upper Fell's Point. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Fell's Point
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510020200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510020200?
Census tract 24510020200 in the Upper Fell's Point neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510020200?
Median gross rent is $1,602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510020200?
18.6% of residents in tract 24510020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,480.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510020200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 8th, minority 56th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 24510020200 considered part of Upper Fell's Point?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510020200 fall within Upper Fell's Point (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510020200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510020200 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510020200 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510020200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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