Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Fell's Point Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510020200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,480 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24510020200 covers part of the Upper Fell's Point area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,480. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 27% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units783

Renter share58.1%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate18.6%

Median income$68,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2886, -76.5920 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Fell's Point scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baltimore

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.8

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

18.6% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$1,602 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baltimore

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baltimore

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baltimore

6.0

How Upper Fell's Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Fell's Point. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.3%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
21.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Fell's Point

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,602 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Baltimore commands.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510020200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510020200?

Census tract 24510020200 in the Upper Fell's Point neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24510020200?

Median gross rent is $1,602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510020200?

18.6% of residents in tract 24510020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,480.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510020200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 8th, minority 56th, housing 32th.

Is tract 24510020200 considered part of Upper Fell's Point?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510020200 fall within Upper Fell's Point (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24510020200 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24510020200 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510020200 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24510020200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.